Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.522425 1.733907 1.964076 2.233190 2.539249 2.876555 3.276601
2025-11-23 1.198537 1.486356 1.826863 2.259477 2.794753 3.435757 4.262467
2025-11-30 1.002648 1.318921 1.715326 2.248797 2.948545 3.836115 5.049322
2025-12-07 0.853123 1.177806 1.604477 2.206444 3.034779 4.136211 5.715322
2025-12-14 0.734423 1.057370 1.499549 2.149505 3.081853 4.373423 6.303503
2025-12-21 0.649669 0.971167 1.427857 2.124267 3.161185 4.651320 6.962456
2025-12-28 0.610056 0.943846 1.434218 2.207563 3.398975 5.169608 8.010836
2026-01-04 0.549697 0.877955 1.375447 2.184828 3.471752 5.444723 8.711995
2026-01-11 0.516624 0.850084 1.370405 2.241974 3.669365 5.922342 9.765127
2026-01-18 0.476250 0.805967 1.334774 2.245248 3.778509 6.265943 10.628458
2026-01-25 0.434292 0.754797 1.282397 2.214795 3.827056 6.511665 11.346101
2026-02-01 0.398407 0.710241 1.236477 2.189893 3.880618 6.766685 12.096661
2026-02-08 0.370039 0.679132 1.215782 2.216166 4.042173 7.249089 13.345213
2026-02-15 0.343860 0.649824 1.196459 2.245102 4.215670 7.776982 14.746643
2026-02-22 0.315178 0.612468 1.158283 2.234383 4.313392 8.174649 15.943949
2026-03-01 0.285773 0.570378 1.106742 2.192306 4.346111 8.452370 16.937562
2026-03-08 0.258042 0.528450 1.051032 2.135733 4.343590 8.660257 17.811763
2026-03-15 0.236983 0.497528 1.013421 2.110656 4.399893 8.985864 18.952005
2026-03-22 0.229369 0.493285 1.028296 2.193417 4.683254 9.790159 21.158223
2026-03-29 0.211926 0.466508 0.994472 2.170829 4.743602 10.142358 22.442549
2026-04-05 0.203409 0.458011 0.997822 2.227608 4.978522 10.880546 24.634674
2026-04-12 0.190901 0.439403 0.977717 2.230861 5.096056 11.377134 26.339590
2026-04-19 0.176783 0.415706 0.944197 2.200603 5.135104 11.704418 27.691629